Casco Bay Conditions

Portland Head Light to Bailey Island, Maine

The Report
On the water right now
65°F
Mainly clearFeels like 63° · 93% humidity · dew point 62°

Mainly clear, SSE 13 kt, seas 3.0 ft, fog in play.

Water
60°F
Cold
Seas
3.0ft
Slight · 5 s
Swell
2.3ft
5 s period
Barometer
1010.8mb
steady
Visibility
25.1mi
Clear to the horizon
Fog risk
81/100
Likely
UV index
0.3
Low
Cloud cover
44%
Broken
Wind against tide — steeper seas than the height suggestsWater running high by 0.9 ftBuoy 44007 sea: steepUpdated 5:20 PM EDT
Wind
From SSE (166°)
NESW13knotsSSE
Force 4 · Moderate breeze
Gusts to 15 kt
long fetch · Onshore off the Gulf. Builds steady sea and pushes swell into the outer islands.

Today's brief

Every reading on this page, read together and written out in plain English.

Fog likely

Elevated fog risk from 6:00 PM to 2:00 PM tomorrow. Warm air over cold water — the classic Casco Bay setup. Carry radar and sound your horn.

Wind against tide

Around 6:00 PM the breeze opposes the current. Seas will stand up short and steep — worse than the 2.5 ft height suggests, especially at the harbor entrance.

Wind peaks

SSE 13 kt, gusts 15 around 6:00 PM.

Water 60°F — cold

Cold-shock response is real here. Wetsuit recommended; survival time 1–6 hours.

Evening golden hour

Starts 7:01 PM, sunset 7:41 PM, civil dusk 8:11 PM. Day length is shrinking by 3 min a day right now.

Best window 11:00 AM tomorrow

NNE 7 kt, 1.4 ft seas, flood tide. Best combination of breeze and sea state in the next 24 hours.

Tide

NOAA station 8418150 · Portland · heights above MLLW

8.5ft
Ebbing-2.05 ft/hr
Low water 0.3 ft at 9:34 PM · 4h 14m away
+0.87 ft vs predictedAverage range · 9.7 ft
0483 PM6 PM9 PMTue3 AM6 AM9 AM12 PM9.93:19 PM0.39:34 PM9.13:47 AM0.79:49 AMNOW
PredictedMeasured water levelNight and twilightMean range 9.1 ft · today 107% of normal

Tidal current

Predicted flow through the two gates that matter. Flood sets into the bay, ebb runs out.

Portland Harbor Entrance

CAB1401
0.6 kt ebbsetting 138° (SE)
3:49 PM1.010:45 PM0.64:16 AM0.92 PM5 PM8 PM11 PM2 AM5 AM8 AMfloodebb
Next ebb peak at 6:53 PM · 1h 33m awayPeak today 1.0 kt

Chandler Cove, South Entrance

CAB1409
0.7 kt ebbsetting 179° (S)
3:03 PM0.710:01 PM0.63:32 AM0.62 PM5 PM8 PM11 PM2 AM5 AM8 AMfloodebb
Next ebb peak at 5:28 PM · 8m awayPeak today 0.8 kt

Sun and moon

13h 54m of daylight, losing 3 min a day

Full daylight
EW5:47 AM7:41 PM12:44 PM · 59.6°
First light
5:16 AM
Civil dawn
Sunrise
5:47 AM
Golden until 6:26 AM
Golden hour
7:01 PM
Sunset 7:41 PM
Last light
8:11 PM
Dark 9:30 PM

Sun is 24.3° above the horizon, bearing 265° (W).

Waxing Crescent
26.8% lit · 5.1 days old
Up now, 29.1°
Moonrise
11:26 AM
S
Moonset
9:40 PM
Next full
Aug 28
12:13 AM
Next new
Sep 10
11:20 PM

Hour by hour

Wind, sea, tide, current and visibility on one timeline. Scroll sideways for the next two and a half days.

2 PM
Mon
64°
15g21SSE
3.0
4s
9.0
▲ flood
0.4kt
5%
28mi
3 PM
64°
14g20S
2.8
4s
9.8
high
0.2kt
3%
27mi
4 PM
65°
14g19S
2.8
4s
9.6
▼ ebb
0.1kt
1%
25mi
NOW
65°
13g15SSE
2.6
4s
8.3
▼ ebb
0.5kt
1%
25mi
6 PM
65°
13g15SSE
2.5
4s
6.2
▼ ebb
0.9kt
1%
25mi
7 PM
65°
13g16SSE
2.4
5s
3.7
▼ ebb
1.0kt
1%
25mi
8 PM
65°
10g14S
2.3
5s
1.6
▼ ebb
0.9kt
1%
25mi
9 PM
65°
9g10S
2.2
5s
0.5
low
0.6kt
2%
25mi
10 PM
65°
5g8SSE
2.0
5s
0.4
low
0.3kt
1%
25mi
11 PM
64°
6g5SE
1.9
5s
1.4
▲ flood
0.1kt
1%
25mi
12 AM
Tue
64°
6g5SE
1.8
5s
3.3
▲ flood
0.4kt
1%
25mi
1 AM
64°
5g6E
1.7
5s
5.6
▲ flood
0.6kt
1%
25mi
2 AM
64°
5g6ENE
1.6
5s
7.6
▲ flood
0.5kt
3%
25mi
3 AM
64°
6g6E
1.5
5s
8.8
▲ flood
0.3kt
5%
25mi
4 AM
64°
6g8ESE
1.5
5s
9.1
high
0.1kt
3%
25mi
5 AM
64°
7g7E
1.4
5s
8.4
▼ ebb
0.3kt
3%
2.4mi
6 AM
64°
8g7NE
1.4
5s
6.7
▼ ebb
0.7kt
2%
0.2mi
7 AM
64°
8g9NE
1.4
5s
4.5
▼ ebb
0.9kt
4%
0.4mi
8 AM
64°
6g8NNE
1.4
5s
2.4
▼ ebb
0.9kt
3%
0.8mi
9 AM
64°
6g10N
1.4
5s
1.1
▼ ebb
0.6kt
1%
25mi
10 AM
65°
7g11NNE
1.4
5s
0.8
low
0.3kt
2%
25mi
11 AM
65°
7g11NNE
1.4
6s
1.5
▲ flood
0.0kt
3%
25mi
12 PM
65°
6g10NNE
1.4
6s
3.1
▲ flood
0.3kt
1%
25mi
1 PM
65°
5g9NNE
1.4
6s
5.3
▲ flood
0.5kt
3%
25mi
2 PM
65°
3g9NNE
1.5
6s
7.5
▲ flood
0.5kt
7%
25mi
3 PM
65°
2g8NW
1.6
6s
9.0
▲ flood
0.3kt
4%
25mi
4 PM
66°
4g9NNE
1.6
6s
9.6
high
0.1kt
4%
26mi
5 PM
65°
3g9ENE
1.6
6s
9.2
▼ ebb
0.2kt
3%
25mi
6 PM
66°
5g10N
1.7
6s
7.8
▼ ebb
0.6kt
4%
26mi
7 PM
66°
8g12NNW
1.8
6s
5.7
▼ ebb
0.9kt
3%
29mi
8 PM
66°
8g12NNW
1.8
6s
3.5
▼ ebb
0.9kt
2%
29mi
9 PM
65°
3g9N
1.9
6s
1.7
▼ ebb
0.8kt
2%
27mi
10 PM
65°
5g7WNW
2.0
6s
0.8
low
0.5kt
8%
27mi
11 PM
65°
5g9NW
2.1
7s
0.8
low
0.2kt
8%
28mi
12 AM
Wed
65°
4g7WNW
2.1
7s
1.8
▲ flood
0.1kt
8%
27mi
1 AM
65°
4g6WSW
2.2
7s
3.6
▲ flood
0.5kt
8%
26mi
2 AM
65°
3g6WNW
2.2
7s
5.7
▲ flood
0.5kt
8%
27mi
3 AM
65°
3g5W
2.2
7s
7.4
▲ flood
0.4kt
3%
26mi
4 AM
64°
5g6W
2.1
7s
8.3
▲ flood
0.2kt
3%
25mi
5 AM
64°
5g6W
2.1
7s
8.5
high
0.0kt
3%
25mi
6 AM
64°
3g5W
2.1
7s
7.7
▼ ebb
0.3kt
3%
31mi
7 AM
64°
3g5WSW
2.0
7s
6.1
▼ ebb
0.7kt
3%
37mi
8 AM
68°
3g5WSW
2.0
7s
4.2
▼ ebb
0.9kt
3%
43mi
9 AM
75°
3g5WSW
2.0
7s
2.5
▼ ebb
0.8kt
1%
49mi
10 AM
79°
3g5SW
2.0
7s
1.5
▼ ebb
0.5kt
1%
49mi
11 AM
82°
4g6S
1.9
7s
1.4
low
0.3kt
1%
49mi
12 PM
84°
5g7S
1.9
7s
2.1
▲ flood
0.0kt
1%
49mi
1 PM
86°
5g9S
1.9
7s
3.7
▲ flood
0.3kt
1%
49mi
2 PM
86°
5g10S
1.9
7s
5.8
▲ flood
0.5kt
1%
49mi
3 PM
86°
6g10SSE
1.9
7s
7.6
▲ flood
0.4kt
1%
49mi
4 PM
84°
9g9SSE
1.9
7s
8.8
▲ flood
0.2kt
1%
49mi
5 PM
79°
10g14S
1.9
7s
9.2
high
0.0kt
1%
29mi
6 PM
75°
7g12S
1.9
7s
8.7
▼ ebb
0.2kt
1%
49mi
7 PM
74°
5g13S
1.8
7s
7.3
▼ ebb
0.6kt
1%
49mi
8 PM
73°
4g9S
1.8
7s
5.4
▼ ebb
0.8kt
1%
49mi
9 PM
70°
2g2S
1.8
7s
3.4
▼ ebb
0.8kt
1%
49mi
10 PM
70°
3g4NNW
1.8
7s
1.9
▼ ebb
0.7kt
1%
49mi
11 PM
69°
3g5N
1.7
7s
1.1
low
0.5kt
1%
49mi
12 AM
Thu
68°
4g9N
1.7
7s
1.2
▲ flood
0.3kt
1%
49mi
1 AM
69°
5g9N
1.7
6s
2.2
▲ flood
0.3kt
1%
49mi
2 AM
66°
5g9NNW
1.7
6s
3.8
▲ flood
0.3kt
1%
49mi
3 AM
66°
4g7NNW
1.7
6s
5.6
▲ flood
0.3kt
2%
49mi
4 AM
65°
4g5NNW
1.7
6s
7.1
▲ flood
0.3kt
2%
49mi
5 AM
64°
4g5N
1.7
6s
7.9
▲ flood
0.3kt
2%
49mi
Rows, top to bottom: sky · air °F · wind kt with gust and direction· sea height ft and period · tide ft, phase and current· rain chance · visibility with fog-risk bar · chop index wind against tide

Sea state

Measured at NDBC 44007, 10.5 NM out — the real thing, not a model.

Slight
Significant height
3.0ft
Average of the highest third — one wave in ten runs noticeably bigger
Dominant period
5s
Short local chop
Steepness
steep
NDBC classification
What the sea is made of
Ground swell2.3 ft @ 5 s from SSE

Long, organised energy from distant weather. Rolls under a boat rather than slapping it.

Wind wave2.0 ft @ 4 s from S

Built by today’s breeze. Short and steep — this is the part that makes a ride wet and uncomfortable.

Profiles show ~240 ft of ocean at 10× vertical exaggeration, so the two components can be compared at a glance.

Beaufort scale
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Force 4 · Moderate breeze small waves, frequent whitecaps. On land: dust and loose paper lift.

Reporting buoys
StationWindSeasPeriodWaterAirAge
Portland 44007
10.5 NM
S 10g123.05s60°64°30m
Western Shelf
33.5 NM
S 10g142.65s66°68°1h 50m
Jeffreys Ledge
54.2 NM
2.64s68°68°20m
Jonesport
128 NM
SSE 10g122.66s56°30m

Best time to go

Every hour of the next day scored for what you actually want to do out there.

6 PM12 AM6 AM12 PM
Solunar feeding periods

Fish feed hardest when the moon is on the meridian — overhead or underfoot — and around moonrise and moonset. Stack a major period on top of a running tide and that is your window.

49
day index
Moon underfoot 3:20 AM5:20 AMMoonrise 10:56 AM11:56 AMMoon overhead 3:35 PM5:35 PMMoonset 9:10 PM10:10 PM

The week ahead

Seven days of weather, sea, tide and moon. Wave heights run out past two and a half days — that is the honest limit of the marine model.

TodayAug 17
66°64°
Overcast
Wind
S 16 ktg26
Seas
3.0 ft
Rain
17%
UV
0.8
Tides
H 2:55 AM9.8
L 9:03 AM0.2
H 3:19 PM9.9
L 9:34 PM0.3
Waxing Crescent
27% lit
76
Daytime sailing score
TueAug 18
66°64°
Fog
Wind
NNE 8 ktg12
Seas
2.1 ft
Rain
8%
UV
1.9
Tides
H 3:47 AM9.1
L 9:49 AM0.7
H 4:07 PM9.6
L 10:27 PM0.7
Waxing Crescent
36% lit
43
Daytime sailing score
WedAug 19
86°64°
Overcast
Wind
SSW 10 ktg14
Seas
2.2 ft
Rain
8%
UV
6.7
Tides
H 4:40 AM8.5
L 10:38 AM1.3
H 4:57 PM9.2
L 11:23 PM1.1
Waxing Crescent
46% lit
44
Daytime sailing score
ThuAug 20
77°62°
Heavy drizzle
Wind
NE 7 ktg9
Seas
1.7 ft
Rain
12%0.08"
UV
5.8
Tides
H 5:36 AM8.0
L 11:30 AM1.8
H 5:51 PM8.9
Waxing Gibbous
55% lit
34
Daytime sailing score
FriAug 21
79°60°
Overcast
Wind
SE 9 ktg10
Seas
Rain
4%
UV
6.1
Tides
L 12:22 AM1.3
H 6:35 AM7.7
L 12:26 PM2.1
H 6:48 PM8.8
Waxing Gibbous
65% lit
0
Daytime sailing score
SatAug 22
79°61°
Overcast
Wind
S 8 ktg13
Seas
Rain
17%
UV
4.8
Tides
L 1:24 AM1.5
H 7:36 AM7.6
L 1:26 PM2.2
H 7:47 PM8.8
Waxing Gibbous
74% lit
0
Daytime sailing score
SunAug 23
79°63°
Heavy drizzle
Wind
SSE 9 ktg11
Seas
Rain
41%0.17"
UV
5.3
Tides
L 2:25 AM1.4
H 8:35 AM7.6
L 2:25 PM2.1
H 8:43 PM8.9
Waxing Gibbous
81% lit
0
Daytime sailing score

Official forecast

NWS Gray, Maine · zone ANZ153 Casco Bay · issued 5:02 PM EDT

Synopsis

High pressure slides south into midweek, with a cold front approaching the waters Wednesday evening. High pressure then returns for the end of the week.

Tonight

S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SE after midnight, then becoming NE towards daybreak. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog this evening. Areas of dense fog after midnight. Vsby 1 NM or less.

Tue

NE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 NM or less.

Tue Night

E winds around 5 kt, becoming NW after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 NM or less.

Wed

SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Wed Night

S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Thu

NW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Thu Night

SW winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.

Fri

NE winds around 5 kt, becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.

Fri Night

S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NE after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.

Water temperature

The number that decides how long you have if you end up in it.

60°FCold
32°50°75°

Cold-shock response is real here. Wetsuit recommended; survival time 1–6 hours.

Air quality

Ozone and fine particulate over the bay.

Moderate
PM2.5
13.1µg
PM10
20.3µg
Ozone
86µg

Aurora watch

Geomagnetic activity, and whether it is worth looking north.

3.7KpNothing doing
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Casco Bay sits near 53° magnetic latitude, so the northern lights generally need Kp 6 or better to show above the horizon — and you need to get clear of Portland’s glow. Chebeague, Cliff and the north shore of Bailey are the places to try.

24-hour peak Kp 3.7 · last reading 2:00 PM EDT

Freshwater in

What the rivers are pushing into the bay right now.

Presumpscot579 cfs
Enters at Falmouth · stage 3.18 ft
Royal28 cfs
Enters at Yarmouth · stage 0.96 ft
Androscoggin2090 cfs
Enters at Merrymeeting Bay · stage 2.44 ft

High flow after rain drops surface salinity, cuts water clarity and carries stormwater bacteria into the inner bay for a day or two. It also stratifies the top few feet colder and fresher near the river mouths.

Portland Harbor station

NOAA station 8418150, on the waterfront. Sheltered readings — a fair bit lighter than the outer bay.

Observed 5:12 PM EDT
Water
59.7°F
Air
68.4°F
Wind
10.3kt
S
Gust
13.0kt
Pressure
1009.7mb